Leap To the Moon!
30 November 2016
by Benjamin Deniston
The Epoch of Mankind’s Future in Space Has Finally Come
“A Solar System Physical Economic Platform”
LPAC—What will NASA’s focus be under President Trump? Rather than comment upon ongoing speculation and rumors, let’s focus on what needs to happen to secure mankind’s prosperous future in the Solar System.
What should the goal of today’s space program be? We certainly want to accomplish inspirational and exciting goals—sending mankind back to the Moon, getting people to Mars, and pursuing greater robotic exploration of other planetary systems are all worthy goals being discussed.
However, there is another, higher, consideration which must guide our actions now: will the accomplishments we make provide the platform to support qualitative leaps to even greater capabilities in the future?
If the Trump presidency is serious about space it must be focused on this latter consideration. Today’s space policy should have a generation-long vision to develop the capabilities that will then enable mankind to regularly perform tens or hundreds of the types of missions that we currently see as single flagship missions today. For reasons discussed below, an international mission for the development of the Moon is the clear first step.
Natural Human Progress Comes in Leaps
Yesterday we cheered with excitement watching NASA’s Curiosity rover make its first explorations of Mars; tomorrow we should have more advanced rovers exploring many more planets and their moons (Venus, Mars, Titan, Europa, Enceladus, Io, Triton, Ganymede, Pluto, and more). A few decades ago the world was gripped to see mankind step foot on the Moon; a few decades from now we should witness mankind exploring other planets with relative ease. We must look to interplanetary space travel, exploration, and development as mankind centuries ago looked to transoceanic travel or transcontinental travel—voyages that start as risky and expensive exploration missions led by a handful of brave individuals must become increasingly common occurrences for increasingly large fractions of the population. Ultimately, this will take a few generations to accomplish, but it is the correct perspective needed to guide our actions today.
In the beginning of the 17th Century Lewis and Clark risked life and limb to traverse the wilderness of the American continent, achieving something that the average retired RV enthusiast can accomplish in a span of a week, or the average airline traveler can accomplish in a day. In the middle of the 20th Century a handful of astronauts were the first to brave the cold vacuum of space in mankind’s first trips to the Moon, achieving what will be common a century from now?
Is space travel more difficult than early transcontinental expeditions? Yes, absolutely—but every new challenge is always more difficult than the last; this is the nature of human advancement.
The question to ask is: how does mankind change extraordinary, singular achievements into ordinary, common activities? The unique and incredible into the regular and indispensable? What enables mankind to uniquely make such dramatic shifts? The answer is provided by Lyndon LaRouche’s science of physical economics.
LaRouche’s Physical Economic Platform
Recognizing that conventional usage of the term “infrastructure” reflected a lack of understanding of its true significance, in 2010 Lyndon LaRouche introduced the concept of the physical economic platform. Specific types of infrastructure systems and associated levels of energy flux-density define specific physical economic platforms make possible new dimensions of economic activity. For example, prior to the development of rail systems—especially transcontinental—mainstream economic activity was largely limited to coastal and river systems. Transcontinental rail systems, and the new energy flux-densities provided by the coal powered steam engine, created a new platform, supporting the development of the interior regions of continents for the first time (opening up vast new territories for development) and providing a new space-time connectivity for the economy (enabling new economic flows of goods, production processes, and higher levels of overall productivity for the labor force).
With Lincoln’s transcontinental rail system, a trek previously only braved by top-notch explorers became accessible to a regular family, an average settler, or a common entrepreneur.
How will we create a similar shift with respect to mankind’s relation to the Solar System? What are the key technologies, energy flux-densities, and infrastructures of a Solar System physical economic platform?
Solar System Physical Economic Platform
Even if not discussed in the same terms of reference, the basic elements of a Solar System platform have been well known since the work of the early space pioneer Krafft Ehricke and his colleagues. For convenience here we can identify three critical categories of focus.
Access to Space—Because of the massive energy requirements to overcome Earth’s gravity, it has been said, “Once you get to Earth orbit you’re halfway to anywhere in the solar system.” Speaking strictly in terms of energy requirements, this is absolutely true (for example, the Apollo program’s Saturn V rocket used far more fuel simply traveling from the Earth’s surface into Earth orbit than it used traveling the quarter of a million miles from Earth orbit to the Moon). Today it costs $10,000 to put one pound of cargo into Earth orbit with rocket launch systems. With current efforts to lower costs (including claims by advocates of commercial space ventures) traditional rocket flights to Earth orbit might be cut down to one tenth of present costs (at best). However, new technologies provide far better improvements. What NASA defines as “third generation launch vehicles” and air-breathing rockets can reduce the costs to between one-tenth and one-hundredth of current levels. With advanced versions of these systems astronauts could ride a space plane taking off from an airport runway runway and traveling all the way into Earth orbit. Going further, magnetic-levitation vacuum-tube space launch systems could reduce the costs to merely 0.2% of current levels, making low Earth orbit as accessible as international travels.
In-Space Fusion Propulsion—The energy released by nuclear reactions is an amazing one million times greater than chemical reactions (per mass). For example, the energy contained in the Space Shuttle’s 3.8 million pounds of chemical fuel (in its two solid boosters and its liquid fuel tank) could be matched by a mere ten pounds of nuclear fuel. When one grasps the vast distances involved in travel through the Solar System it becomes clear that deep space travel without nuclear power is as silly as travel across a continent without fossil (chemical) fuels—it may be done to a limited degree, but it does not support a platform level of activity. Fission, and, much more importantly fusion propulsion are critical to fast and regular access to other planetary bodies. While today’s trips to Mars require months of travel time, fusion propulsion can put Mars weeks, or even mere days away.
Space Resource Development—The development and utilization of the resources available beyond Earth lifts mankind above self-supplied excursions in space, to the level of an active organizing force in the Solar System. The ability to develop the resources available on the Moon, asteroids, Mars, or any potential destination in the Solar System reduces the extremely costly requirement of bringing everything from Earth, and begins the grand process of creating self-sustaining systems of economic activity in space, providing needed goods to space activities, and even back to Earth. In addition to the most obvious sources of water, oxygen, and hydrogen, a major focus is a spectacular fusion fuel which is nearly completely absent from the Earth, but covers the Moon’s surface, helium-3. Advanced (aneutronic) fusion reactions powered by helium-3 could propel spacecraft around the entire Solar System, and power the Earth for centuries to come.
Taken together, technological and infrastructure breakthroughs in each of these three categories combine to create a new physical economic platform that will completely redefine mankind’s relation to the Solar System—as railroads and steam engines had transformed mankind’s relation to the continents centuries earlier.
Done properly, a mission for the development of permanent basing and manufacturing operations on the Moon can be the best driver program for the creation of a Solar System physical economic platform. The Moon’s close proximity makes it accessible for development, and its unique helium-3 resources can provide the fuel for fusion propulsion in space (and fusion power back on Earth), as well as defining a driver program for the development of space mining, processing, and manufacturing capabilities. New space launch systems will lower the cost of Earth-Moon transport, and dramatically increase accessibility to the entire Solar System.
And the world is already looking in this direction. Both China and Russia have their sights set on the Moon, with many of these objectives in mind, and the head of the European Space Agency has put Europe’s support behind international development of the Moon.
For President Trump it seems clear that the Moon is the obvious choice. The question is if this will be the beginning of a transformative, new platform that will qualitatively rise mankind’s capabilities to an entirely new level. Will this initiate the next revolution in mankind’s continual creative advance in the Universe?